Economic Update for the Week Ending November 20th, 2021

Stock markets- The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed the week at 35,601.98, down 1.4% from 36.100.31 last week. It is up 16.3% year-to-date.  The S&P 500 closed the week at 4,697.96, up 0.3% from 4,682.85 last week. It is up 25.9% year-to-date. The NASDAQ closed the week at 16,057.44, up  1.2% from 15,860.96 last week. It is up 24.6% year-to-date.

financial graph with Dollar sign

U.S. Treasury bond yields – The 10-year treasury bond closed the week yielding 1.54% down from 1.58% last week. The 30-year treasury bond yield ended the week at 1.91%, down from 1.95% last week. We watch bond yields because mortgage rates often follow treasury bond yields. 

Mortgage rates – The November 17, 2021, Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Survey reported mortgage rates for the most popular loan products as follows: The 30-year fixed mortgage rate was 3.10%, up from 2.98% last week. The 15-year fixed was 2.39% up from 2.27% last week. The 5-year ARM was 2.49%, down from 2.53% last week. Following the release of the inflation numbers mortgage rates increased at the end of the week. The 30-year was over 3% on Friday.

October California existing-home sales – The California Association of Realtors reported that existing-home sales totaled 434,170, down 0.9% month-over-month from September and down 10.4% year-over-year from October 2020. Year-to-date sales are up 13.4% from the same period last year.  The median price paid for an existing-home in October  was $798,440, up 12.3% from last October when the median price was $711,300 There was a 1.8 month supply of homes for sale in October, down slightly from a 2.0 month supply of homes for sale one year ago. Below are regional figures.

southern California Median Sold price of Existing Single-Family Homes for October 2021

State/Region/County Oct-21 Sep-21 Oct-20 Price MTM% Chg Price YTY% Chg Sales MTM% Chg Sales YTY% Chg
Los Angeles $848,970 $886,050 $745,080 -4.2% 13.9% 6.6% -7.7%
Orange $1,120,000 $1,100,000 $930,000 1.8% 20.4% -7.4% -20.2%
Riverside $580,000 $570,000 $485,000 1.8% 19.6% -4.7% -18.4%
San Bernadino $445,000 $437,000 $365,000 1.8% 21.9% 2.0% -10.0%
San Diego $850,000 $850,000 $749,000 0.0% 13.5% -4.9% -8.3%
Ventura $830,000 $815,000 $750,000 1.8% 10.7% -5.3% -8.0%

Sources:

  1.  Rodeo Realty, Inc.
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